Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.493260 2.652012 2.820263 3.012642 3.227500 3.461227 3.736276
2026-01-04 2.196258 2.406550 2.640870 2.923978 3.260454 3.652450 4.151176
2026-01-11 2.049589 2.290295 2.567671 2.915894 3.348797 3.879947 4.599026
2026-01-18 1.969570 2.237306 2.554752 2.966815 3.500207 4.187019 5.174884
2026-01-25 2.051729 2.380141 2.784211 3.332660 4.083402 5.119795 6.754652
2026-02-01 1.910446 2.234466 2.638986 3.198015 3.981173 5.095137 6.927015
2026-02-08 1.779593 2.093934 2.490604 3.046176 3.838234 4.991082 6.950271
2026-02-15 1.707698 2.024689 2.430219 3.008107 3.851067 5.116253 7.365508
2026-02-22 1.631676 1.945947 2.352290 2.939242 3.811174 5.152846 7.629632
2026-03-01 1.553200 1.860418 2.260787 2.845016 3.724971 5.105182 7.729842
2026-03-08 1.471568 1.767625 2.155439 2.725130 3.591063 4.966796 7.636308
2026-03-15 1.437340 1.736677 2.133019 2.723454 3.638487 5.132889 8.164528
2026-03-22 1.391309 1.692702 2.096860 2.709102 3.680506 5.322130 8.848063
2026-03-29 1.327852 1.623173 2.022670 2.634953 3.622704 5.333618 9.168428
2026-04-05 1.290941 1.588088 1.994807 2.628107 3.673391 5.547715 10.017805
2026-04-12 1.271936 1.576616 1.999586 2.671018 3.811109 5.947591 11.484744
2026-04-19 1.326392 1.670436 2.162561 2.977046 4.450358 7.512246 17.364275
2026-04-26 1.266583 1.598007 2.073712 2.864870 4.306868 7.342576 17.401671
2026-05-03 1.206354 1.523203 1.978661 2.737738 4.125807 7.064437 16.929110
2026-05-10 1.173624 1.487317 1.941399 2.705756 4.125509 7.213742 18.269491
2026-05-17 1.136397 1.443666 1.890529 2.647792 4.069381 7.219908 19.030769
2026-05-24 1.095846 1.394021 1.828775 2.568250 3.964657 7.091975 19.130968
2026-05-31 1.051745 1.338140 1.755847 2.466650 3.809881 6.821986 18.455688